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Reflections on the Mediterranean Union
By Dr. Ahmed Driss
21 February 2008
1) Is the proposed Mediterranean Union a valid framework to structure future Euro-Mediterranean relations?
Although one is tempted to answer “no”, it is both difficult and premature to evaluate the solidity of such a project in relation to the restructuring of future Euro-Mediterranean relations; firstly, because initially only the Mediterranean countries were seen as having a stake in this union, and also because, since then, the formulation of this proposition has been constantly changing and evolving. Effectively, the Mediterranean Union proposed by the then candidate Sarkozy, in his speech at Toulon in February 2007, does not have much in common with the Union for the Mediterranean outlined following the December 2007 tri-party France-Italy-Spain summit, after which the formal framework originally envisioned became a union based on a reinforced cooperation on clearly determined dossiers. This revision fell short of initial ambitions, yet overcame some major obstacles inhibiting the partnership.
Nonetheless, this will not in itself assure the general advancement of Euro-Mediterranean relations; on the one hand, many important actors cannot claim a Mediterranean identity or will be absent from the project by choice (as is the case with Turkey, which rejects the idea in its entirety), while on the other, sensitive issues such as territorial conflicts and the spread of democracy, will not even be considered. At most, the project will eventually benefit the Western Mediterranean Basin, a region already addressed within the 5+5 framework.
2) What purposes / needs might the Mediterranean Union serve that are not already encompassed by the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership (EMP)? The three pillars of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership generally deal with the differing needs of a Euro-Mediterranean cooperation; yet, the project suffers from a lack of appropriation among Southern Mediterranean countries, which find that the EU does not consider them equal partners, that they are not granted full participation in the decision-making process, and that the issue of development is often sidelined in the cooperation proposals.
The Mediterranean Union appears to answer some of these worries. The many documents outlining this project insist, for example, on the principle of equality between its future members and the involvement of all in the implementation of its common policy. However, such worries remain ones of a procedural nature, and essentially there is nothing to suggest that within the framework of a Mediterranean Union things will improve. 3) What future do you envision for the proposed Mediterranean Union and the EMP?In this early phase of reconnaissance, the question of the future remains uncertain. Nonetheless, the proposal of this union can be credited for having re-launched debate on the central character of the Mediterranean in regional geopolitics and on the importance of Euro-Mediterranean relations, not only for those countries bordering the Mediterranean Sea, but for all the countries engaged in this process. Amongst the diverse reactions of the non-Mediterranean European countries, one can identify a renewed interest in the Mediterranean, which is defined as a question common to all and not just to the Mediterraneans. In addition, this new project has highlighted the problems confronting the EMP, as well as the uncertainties relative to this process plaguing both sides. It is true that at this stage the bond between the unification project and the EMP is but fragile, yet the engagement of those countries that traditionally defend the Barcelona Process - such as Spain and Italy, which are in favour of the Union for the Mediterranean - should certainly allow the galvanisation of the EMP within a reviewed and improved format. It now remains to be seen whether this might eventually result in a Mediterranean Union - a Euro-Mediterranean community as we have defended it within the EuroMeSCo framework. Ahmed Driss is an Academic and Researcher in International Relations. He is the Director of the Center for Mediterranean and International Studies, Tunis.  By Dr. Dorothée Schmid 25 February 2008 1) Is the proposed Mediterranean Union a valid framework to structure future Euro-Mediterranean relations?
The framework proposed by the French government remains vague, particularly as regards the articulation between French diplomatic priorities and the interests of the EU and its 27 Member-States. The project was originally conceived in response to the Euro-Mediterranean work programme, with which it was destined to develop in parallel, rather than reinforce. The progressive re-orientation of the French project towards a more European direction results from a late recognition of the existing constraints, in both institutional and financial terms. It’s only through consultation with its other EU-partners that France will from now on succeed in envisioning efficient synergies with the Barcelona framework.
2) What purposes / needs might the Mediterranean Union serve that are not already encompassed by the Euro-Med Partnership (EMP)?
The idea of a periodic GMed, mirroring the G8 model - which would regularly establish the main strategic priorities for the region, without being as restrictive or dependent on costly administrative structures - is a good one. Any initiative promoting North / South interaction within the Mediterranean is welcome; it allows a better explanation, if need be, of the functioning of the Euro-Mediterranean cooperation policy such as it is managed by the Commission in Brussels. Furthermore, it is becoming evermore imperative to outline a genuine strategic vision for the region - something that has always been difficult within the Euro-Mediterranean framework, which remains dominated by its European actors. One can imagine that the Mediterranean Union will eventually encourage ad hoc cooperative initiatives, demonstrating greater flexibility and response capacity than existed within the Euro-Med framework. It is, however, improbable that new work themes will emerge.
3) What future do you envision for the proposed Mediterranean Union and the EMP?
Two broad scenarios are possible: that of a French “sole rider”, which lacking means and perhaps fighters, is in my view fated to fail; or then that of a Barcelona re-launch via the Mediterranean Union – this if the French take the time to pursue a thorough audit of the successes and constraints of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership, notably since the introduction of the Neighbourhood Policy. This would also presume an effort to redefine the shared priorities with the Member-States which have strongly reacted to the French initiative – such as Germany.
Dorothée Schmid is a Research Fellow at the Institut français des relations internationales , Paris, and specialist in European policies in the Mediterranean region and the Middle East.
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Union for the Mediterranean – a Tunisian Viewpoint
The idea of a union in the Mediterranean region was for a long time ambiguous and blurry. Its contours remain only loosely defined, however, it has recently been much discussed and has been the object of several attempts at analysis, most of which were eventually challenged, leading to successive changes being made to the original concept. It thus evolved from the initial “Mediterranean Union”, to the “Union for the Mediterranean”, and later becoming the “Barcelona Process: Union for the Mediterranean”, following the European Summit in Brussels, 13-14 March 2008. It should be noted that while initiatives targeting the Mediterranean have not been lacking, none has to this day truly managed to achieve its objectives. European initiatives such as the European policy for the Mediterranean, the EMP, and the ENP each sought to make the Mediterranean a space of peace, stability and prosperity. All lauded the stabilisation of the region through the virtues of free-exchange. Europe demanded that its Mediterranean partners adhere to its system, notably that of democracy and the State of law, offering them in exchange a share of the prosperity bred by its liberal economy, and even promising access to the “four liberties” to those who progressed most quickly within the framework of the new Neighbourhood Policy. These diverse arrangements failed to convince, however, the Southern Mediterranean countries, resistant to rapid social and political changes, as well as those of the North, little inclined to direct investments, technological transfers, or the global treatment of cultural and migratory issues related to the field of security. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict aggravated an already complex situation and resulted in a political block within the Partnership. Considering this backdrop, can a Mediterranean union resolve or work around these issues? By not addressing them immediately, or even ignoring them, does this union not risk mortgaging the future of what is a potentially successful Mediterranean neighbourhood? Does such a paralysis not risk affecting the proposed union, thus fuelling reactions wavering between prudence and enthusiasm? Starting from this, it is unavoidable that the southern EU partners be tempted, with France’s announcement of the Mediterranean Union project, to evoke a negative balance of the Barcelona Process (BP), coupled with a certain reticence vis-à-vis the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP). As regards the first, for a few years now, the governments of the South have voiced much criticism concerning the BP’s incapacity to attain its set objectives. The last exasperating straw was on the occasion of the BP’s tenth anniversary, where the absence of Arab Mediterranean leaders was sorely noted. Most southern Mediterranean experts claim that the Process has not improved the asymmetries still dividing the opposite shores of the Mediterranean. Despite these criticisms, the southern Mediterranean leaders of the Maghreb region emphasised the importance of not disassociating this new project from the EMP, estimating that such a union should contribute towards a re-launching of the Barcelona Process. The project’s evolution and its adoption during the March European Summit as a continuity to the Barcelona Process, finally lends reason to those from the South who predicted this development and who feel reassured by the participation of all EU member states, confirmed by the Franco-German compromise announced in Hanover on 3 March 2008. This springs from reactions expressed by Maghreb leaders who insisted on the importance, in one form or another, of Germany’s participation, seeing as it is a crucial actor in the Mediterranean and a privileged economic partner in the Maghreb region. Now that the participation of all is assured, consensus has emerged regarding the proposal that the Union for the Mediterranean act instead as an updated and improved model of the EMP. But will it live up to this expectation? A question difficult to confirm at this stage, especially since the Partnership does not operate solely on a multilateral basis, but mainly through multi- and bilateral agreements of association that at present will remain unchanged. Nevertheless, certain elements of this “new and improved” Barcelona Process, within the context of the Union for the Mediterranean, appear to command a particular interest and, at the same time, respond to demands expressed by southern partners. The preoccupation is in establishing a balanced basis that will allow all actors to engage in the elaboration of common projects on an equal footing. This notion of equality, flawed within the Barcelona framework, failed to promote a sense of appropriation amongst the partners of the southern shores. Calls from these countries requested that they be more integrated in the decision-making process, at the very least on a consultative basis, seeing as these were matters perceived by the South as ones of shared interest. For a long time, the southern Mediterranean states, or at least many of them, demanded that the EMP outline a concerted direction as a means of assuring a rebalance between the two groups of partners. Some affirmed that it was necessary to reach this solution in order to “rotate responsibility amongst each State, directing or otherwise implying a global vision of related matters”. The principle of co-presidency surfaced within the framework of the Union for the Mediterranean, or at least that is what emerges from the Franco-German agreement on this initiative, which also indicates an intention to establish a small secretariat of around twenty people that shall be jointly-led by a Director from the North and another from the South, who are also charged with assisting the co-presidency. This does not impede criticism and reticence from the part of certain European actors, who doubt that the new structures will be compatible with already existing ones, and from certain southern Mediterraneans, notably Arabs, who not seeing being subject to an Israeli presidency in a good light, altogether refuse the possibility of this eventuality. If the principle of co-direction is definitely maintained, it shall require a reformulation of the Partnership’s institutional plan, with the creation of an exclusive competence within the domain of the EMP. This competency should permit it to contribute, or at least have a say, in the elaboration and implementation of the Partnership’s policy, and not only in the organisation of summit meetings. It should also allow watchful management of the application of the associative Accords, and finally, assume a role as mediator in disputes between partners. In relation to the initiative’s content, a Union for the Mediterranean founded on the notion of a union of projects and building on the domains where progress is already in evidence, seems to respond to some southern Mediterranean expectations, while at the same time discarding the integrationist aspirations, as were formulated in the project’s original version, where the focus was on creating a union that would permit a form of political integration an aim provoking great enthusiasm. The initial orientation, of structuring the initiative around the idea of integration, was, however, dashed by the reticence of certain European states and their desire for re-equilibrium. This ended up reframing the project, by explicitly pursuing a logic of cooperation that from then on prevailed over the integrationist logic a tendency confirmed following the adoption of the project, during the recent European summit, as a continuity to the Barcelona Process. Although it appears that the southern Mediterranean countries are interested in this new orientation, they reveal differences in approach linked to the lessons learnt from the failures of the Barcelona Process: namely, lack of means, lack of structures, deficiencies in the area of governance, and shortcomings in trans-Mediterranean market integration. Others highlight objective difficulties that would be dangerous to obscure and that question the efficiency of the project method, with countries’ stability threatened by terrorist, migratory and climactic challenges. On the other hand, serious conflicts (Sahara being a main one) persist between some southern partners, weighing heavily on public opinion and the government of each country, and preventing them from accomplishing their process of integration – a necessary condition if companies and private investors are to be offered a driving role, as is predicted and hoped for the projects of the Union for the Mediterranean.
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